Carlsen and Nakamura lead the Titled Tuesday field at 25.5% and 24.5% implied probability respectively because both maintain elite online blitz ratings and consistent recent results in the weekly 11-round 5+0 Swiss on Chess.com. Their head-to-head history and proven ability to navigate large fields of titled players underpin trader consensus, while the remaining field stays bunched around 5-10.5% due to high variance in short time controls and the presence of dozens of strong grandmasters such as Praggnanandhaa, Firouzja, and Erigaisi who can post upsets on any given Tuesday. Participation levels, current form streaks, and schedule overlap with over-the-board events further tighten the race by introducing uncertainty into who will peak for the August 11 edition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen 23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 11%
Alireza Firouzja 7%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
11%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Volen Dyulgerov
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
David Anton
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Wesley So
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Levon Aronian
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Tuomas Turunen
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen 23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 11%
Alireza Firouzja 7%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
11%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Volen Dyulgerov
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
David Anton
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
5%
Wesley So
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Levon Aronian
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Tuomas Turunen
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlsen and Nakamura lead the Titled Tuesday field at 25.5% and 24.5% implied probability respectively because both maintain elite online blitz ratings and consistent recent results in the weekly 11-round 5+0 Swiss on Chess.com. Their head-to-head history and proven ability to navigate large fields of titled players underpin trader consensus, while the remaining field stays bunched around 5-10.5% due to high variance in short time controls and the presence of dozens of strong grandmasters such as Praggnanandhaa, Firouzja, and Erigaisi who can post upsets on any given Tuesday. Participation levels, current form streaks, and schedule overlap with over-the-board events further tighten the race by introducing uncertainty into who will peak for the August 11 edition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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