The U.S. decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations that formal recognition of María Corina Machado will not occur by year-end. The Trump administration has prioritized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and pressed for electoral guarantees rather than elevating Machado, despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and January White House meeting. Public statements from the administration have highlighted concerns over her domestic support levels, and recent May interviews show Machado advocating for swift elections and a potential candidacy without any shift in U.S. policy toward formal endorsement. This pattern aligns with historical precedents for interim transitions and sustains the strong “No” consensus among traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations that formal recognition of María Corina Machado will not occur by year-end. The Trump administration has prioritized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and pressed for electoral guarantees rather than elevating Machado, despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and January White House meeting. Public statements from the administration have highlighted concerns over her domestic support levels, and recent May interviews show Machado advocating for swift elections and a potential candidacy without any shift in U.S. policy toward formal endorsement. This pattern aligns with historical precedents for interim transitions and sustains the strong “No” consensus among traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
音量
$3,882終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations that formal recognition of María Corina Machado will not occur by year-end. The Trump administration has prioritized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and pressed for electoral guarantees rather than elevating Machado, despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and January White House meeting. Public statements from the administration have highlighted concerns over her domestic support levels, and recent May interviews show Machado advocating for swift elections and a potential candidacy without any shift in U.S. policy toward formal endorsement. This pattern aligns with historical precedents for interim transitions and sustains the strong “No” consensus among traders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$3,882終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. decision to recognize Delcy Rodríguez as interim president following Nicolás Maduro’s capture in January 2026 has anchored trader expectations that formal recognition of María Corina Machado will not occur by year-end. The Trump administration has prioritized stability through the current interim structure, resumed commercial flights, and pressed for electoral guarantees rather than elevating Machado, despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and January White House meeting. Public statements from the administration have highlighted concerns over her domestic support levels, and recent May interviews show Machado advocating for swift elections and a potential candidacy without any shift in U.S. policy toward formal endorsement. This pattern aligns with historical precedents for interim transitions and sustains the strong “No” consensus among traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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