Recent progress toward a US-Iran ceasefire memorandum and potential sanctions waivers on oil exports has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader views on the rial. Diplomatic signals in mid-June, including tentative commitments to ease restrictions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, have supported expectations for improved Iranian revenue flows that could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency by month-end. Persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines, hardliner opposition, and residual sanctions enforcement keep the leading bands tightly contested, with any breakthrough or setback in talks before June 30 likely to shift probabilities between the sub-1.6 million ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.6-1.7M 68%
1.7-1.8M 16.5%
1.5-1.6M 10.6%
1.8-1.9M 4.1%
$102,818 Vol.
$102,818 Vol.
2026/06/30
<1.5M
<1%
1.5-1.6M
11%
1.6-1.7M
68%
1.7-1.8M
16%
1.8-1.9M
4%
1.9-2.0M
1%
2.0M+
<1%
1.6-1.7M 68%
1.7-1.8M 16.5%
1.5-1.6M 10.6%
1.8-1.9M 4.1%
$102,818 Vol.
$102,818 Vol.
2026/06/30
<1.5M
$29,537 Vol.
<1%
1.5-1.6M
$19,223 Vol.
11%
1.6-1.7M
$13,143 Vol.
68%
1.7-1.8M
$11,946 Vol.
16%
1.8-1.9M
$9,677 Vol.
4%
1.9-2.0M
$10,481 Vol.
1%
2.0M+
$8,810 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for June 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent progress toward a US-Iran ceasefire memorandum and potential sanctions waivers on oil exports has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader views on the rial. Diplomatic signals in mid-June, including tentative commitments to ease restrictions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, have supported expectations for improved Iranian revenue flows that could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency by month-end. Persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines, hardliner opposition, and residual sanctions enforcement keep the leading bands tightly contested, with any breakthrough or setback in talks before June 30 likely to shift probabilities between the sub-1.6 million ranges.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for June 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
音量
$102,818終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for June 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent progress toward a US-Iran ceasefire memorandum and potential sanctions waivers on oil exports has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader views on the rial. Diplomatic signals in mid-June, including tentative commitments to ease restrictions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, have supported expectations for improved Iranian revenue flows that could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency by month-end. Persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines, hardliner opposition, and residual sanctions enforcement keep the leading bands tightly contested, with any breakthrough or setback in talks before June 30 likely to shift probabilities between the sub-1.6 million ranges.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for June 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$102,818終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent progress toward a US-Iran ceasefire memorandum and potential sanctions waivers on oil exports has emerged as the dominant factor shaping trader views on the rial. Diplomatic signals in mid-June, including tentative commitments to ease restrictions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, have supported expectations for improved Iranian revenue flows that could stabilize or modestly strengthen the currency by month-end. Persistent uncertainties over implementation timelines, hardliner opposition, and residual sanctions enforcement keep the leading bands tightly contested, with any breakthrough or setback in talks before June 30 likely to shift probabilities between the sub-1.6 million ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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