The tight race for 2026 VMA Artist of the Year reflects a fan-voted contest among six nominees where recent cultural momentum and nomination volume shape trader consensus. Taylor Swift holds the edge with her second-most nominations overall plus the new Artist Director Honors recognizing her directorial work on videos like “The Fate of Ophelia,” while Ariana Grande trails closely on the strength of her “hate that i made you love me” campaign and streaming dominance. Madonna leads all artists with 11–13 nods and will open the September 27 ceremony, yet her lower implied probability highlights how fan voting often favors current chart trajectories over legacy campaigns. Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen, and Sabrina Carpenter sit far behind, underscoring the narrow battle between the top two contenders just days before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年VMAアーティスト・オブ・ザ・イヤー
テイラー・スウィフト 43%
アリアナ・グランデ 34%
マドンナ 16%
ブルーノ・マーズ 1.2%
$12,893 Vol.
$12,893 Vol.

テイラー・スウィフト
43%

アリアナ・グランデ
34%

マドンナ
16%

ブルーノ・マーズ
1%

モーガン・ウォレン
1%

サブリナ・カーペンター
1%
テイラー・スウィフト 43%
アリアナ・グランデ 34%
マドンナ 16%
ブルーノ・マーズ 1.2%
$12,893 Vol.
$12,893 Vol.

テイラー・スウィフト
43%

アリアナ・グランデ
34%

マドンナ
16%

ブルーノ・マーズ
1%

モーガン・ウォレン
1%

サブリナ・カーペンター
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The tight race for 2026 VMA Artist of the Year reflects a fan-voted contest among six nominees where recent cultural momentum and nomination volume shape trader consensus. Taylor Swift holds the edge with her second-most nominations overall plus the new Artist Director Honors recognizing her directorial work on videos like “The Fate of Ophelia,” while Ariana Grande trails closely on the strength of her “hate that i made you love me” campaign and streaming dominance. Madonna leads all artists with 11–13 nods and will open the September 27 ceremony, yet her lower implied probability highlights how fan voting often favors current chart trajectories over legacy campaigns. Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen, and Sabrina Carpenter sit far behind, underscoring the narrow battle between the top two contenders just days before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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