The massive live broadcast of Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano on May 16 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward an 82% implied probability for the #2 U.S. Netflix show this week. As Netflix’s first-ever MMA event, the high-profile matchup at Intuit Dome generated exceptional real-time viewership and social buzz, outpacing scripted originals in the current weekly rankings. Traders see limited upside for challengers like Worst Ex Ever: Season 2, which holds steady at 10% amid typical true-crime momentum but lacks comparable live-event spikes. Upcoming chart updates on May 19 will lock in the final positions, with any late streaming surges or new premieres representing the main swing factors in an otherwise lopsided market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano 82%
Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 10%
Nemesis 1.9%
Devil May Cry: Season 2 <1%
$10,484 Vol.
$10,484 Vol.

Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano
82%

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2
10%

Nemesis
2%

Devil May Cry: Season 2
1%

La Brea: Season 3
<1%

Legends: Season 1
<1%

Man on Fire
<1%

Lord of the Flies
<1%

Should I Marry A Murderer?
<1%

Funny AF with Kevin Hart
<1%
Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano 82%
Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 10%
Nemesis 1.9%
Devil May Cry: Season 2 <1%
$10,484 Vol.
$10,484 Vol.

Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano
82%

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2
10%

Nemesis
2%

Devil May Cry: Season 2
1%

La Brea: Season 3
<1%

Legends: Season 1
<1%

Man on Fire
<1%

Lord of the Flies
<1%

Should I Marry A Murderer?
<1%

Funny AF with Kevin Hart
<1%
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The massive live broadcast of Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano on May 16 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward an 82% implied probability for the #2 U.S. Netflix show this week. As Netflix’s first-ever MMA event, the high-profile matchup at Intuit Dome generated exceptional real-time viewership and social buzz, outpacing scripted originals in the current weekly rankings. Traders see limited upside for challengers like Worst Ex Ever: Season 2, which holds steady at 10% amid typical true-crime momentum but lacks comparable live-event spikes. Upcoming chart updates on May 19 will lock in the final positions, with any late streaming surges or new premieres representing the main swing factors in an otherwise lopsided market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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