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icon for 9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

icon for 9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

$446K未満 66%

$446K~$454K 26%

$454K - $462K 8%

$470K - $478K 2.9%

Polymarket

$56,943 Vol.

$446K未満 66%

$446K~$454K 26%

$454K - $462K 8%

$470K - $478K 2.9%

Polymarket

$56,943 Vol.

$446K未満

$11,725 Vol.

66%

$446K~$454K

$13,735 Vol.

26%

$454K - $462K

$5,379 Vol.

8%

$462K - $470K

$4,253 Vol.

1%

$470K - $478K

$11,074 Vol.

3%

$478K~$486K

$2,941 Vol.

1%

48万6,000ドル以上

$7,836 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Elevated housing inventory, persistent affordability challenges from mortgage rates near recent levels, and a post-pandemic price correction continue to weigh on Austin Metro median home values, supporting the market-implied 65.5% probability for a sub-$446K outcome by September 30. Recent data show metro median sale prices hovering in the $435K–$450K range through mid-2026, reflecting year-over-year declines or modest stabilization after a roughly 20–25% drop from the 2022 peak. Trader consensus prices in ongoing softening amid balanced-to-buyer-friendly conditions, with limited near-term catalysts like sharp rate cuts or demand surges expected to reverse the trajectory before resolution. Higher buckets above $454K carry lower odds, consistent with forecasts anticipating flat-to-low-single-digit appreciation only later in the year.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
音量
$56,943
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Elevated housing inventory, persistent affordability challenges from mortgage rates near recent levels, and a post-pandemic price correction continue to weigh on Austin Metro median home values, supporting the market-implied 65.5% probability for a sub-$446K outcome by September 30. Recent data show metro median sale prices hovering in the $435K–$450K range through mid-2026, reflecting year-over-year declines or modest stabilization after a roughly 20–25% drop from the 2022 peak. Trader consensus prices in ongoing softening amid balanced-to-buyer-friendly conditions, with limited near-term catalysts like sharp rate cuts or demand surges expected to reverse the trajectory before resolution. Higher buckets above $454K carry lower odds, consistent with forecasts anticipating flat-to-low-single-digit appreciation only later in the year.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
音量
$56,943
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$446K未満」で66%、次いで「$446K~$454K」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、66¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に66%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」は$56.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「$446K未満」で66%であり、市場がこの結果に66%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$446K~$454K」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「9月30日にオースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。