Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$512K - $518K 34.8%
$518K～$524K 34.2%
$524K〜$530K 16.8%
$512K未満 12.6%
$34,207 Vol.
$34,207 Vol.
2026/09/30
$512K未満
11%
$512K - $518K
35%
$518K～$524K
34%
$524K〜$530K
21%
$530K - $536K
4%
$536K - $542K
4%
54万2千ドル以上
5%
$512K - $518K 34.8%
$518K～$524K 34.2%
$524K〜$530K 16.8%
$512K未満 12.6%
$34,207 Vol.
$34,207 Vol.
2026/09/30
$512K未満
$877 Vol.
11%
$512K - $518K
$3,470 Vol.
35%
$518K～$524K
$9,429 Vol.
34%
$524K〜$530K
$4,395 Vol.
21%
$530K - $536K
$4,122 Vol.
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,787 Vol.
4%
54万2千ドル以上
$4,128 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$34,207終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
音量
$34,207終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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