Mexican authorities have intensified operations against major drug trafficking organizations following the February 2026 killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco. Subsequent arrests include high-ranking CJNG figure Audias Flores Silva in April and a Northeast Cartel cell leader in May, alongside U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards targeting remaining CJNG successors such as Juan Carlos Valencia González. Sinaloa Cartel figures face parallel U.S. charges and bounties, with enforcement actions often involving cross-border intelligence and extradition proceedings. These developments reflect sustained bilateral pressure through military deployments, asset seizures, and leadership decapitation tactics that could influence additional detentions before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年に逮捕されるカルテルのリーダーは誰ですか？
2026年に逮捕されるカルテルのリーダーは誰ですか？
$143,093 Vol.
2026/02/28
イヴァン・アルチバルド・グスマン・サラサール
66%
ヘスス・アルフレド・グスマン・サラザール
42%
リカルド・ルイス・ベラスコ
49%
ウーゴ・ゴンザロ・メンドーサ・ガイタン
36%
フアン・カルロス・バレンシア・ゴンザレス
24%
フアン・レジェス・メヒア・ゴンザレス
52%
フアン・パブロ・レデスマ
44%
$143,093 Vol.
イヴァン・アルチバルド・グスマン・サラサール
$5,906 Vol.
66%
ヘスス・アルフレド・グスマン・サラザール
$5,848 Vol.
42%
リカルド・ルイス・ベラスコ
$60,997 Vol.
49%
ウーゴ・ゴンザロ・メンドーサ・ガイタン
$4,874 Vol.
36%
フアン・カルロス・バレンシア・ゴンザレス
$58,662 Vol.
24%
フアン・レジェス・メヒア・ゴンザレス
$200 Vol.
52%
フアン・パブロ・レデスマ
$658 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican authorities have intensified operations against major drug trafficking organizations following the February 2026 killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco. Subsequent arrests include high-ranking CJNG figure Audias Flores Silva in April and a Northeast Cartel cell leader in May, alongside U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards targeting remaining CJNG successors such as Juan Carlos Valencia González. Sinaloa Cartel figures face parallel U.S. charges and bounties, with enforcement actions often involving cross-border intelligence and extradition proceedings. These developments reflect sustained bilateral pressure through military deployments, asset seizures, and leadership decapitation tactics that could influence additional detentions before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
音量
$143,093終了日
2026/02/28マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican authorities have intensified operations against major drug trafficking organizations following the February 2026 killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco. Subsequent arrests include high-ranking CJNG figure Audias Flores Silva in April and a Northeast Cartel cell leader in May, alongside U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards targeting remaining CJNG successors such as Juan Carlos Valencia González. Sinaloa Cartel figures face parallel U.S. charges and bounties, with enforcement actions often involving cross-border intelligence and extradition proceedings. These developments reflect sustained bilateral pressure through military deployments, asset seizures, and leadership decapitation tactics that could influence additional detentions before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$143,093終了日
2026/02/28マーケット開始日
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mexican authorities have intensified operations against major drug trafficking organizations following the February 2026 killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco. Subsequent arrests include high-ranking CJNG figure Audias Flores Silva in April and a Northeast Cartel cell leader in May, alongside U.S. indictments and multimillion-dollar rewards targeting remaining CJNG successors such as Juan Carlos Valencia González. Sinaloa Cartel figures face parallel U.S. charges and bounties, with enforcement actions often involving cross-border intelligence and extradition proceedings. These developments reflect sustained bilateral pressure through military deployments, asset seizures, and leadership decapitation tactics that could influence additional detentions before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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