Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$125,674 Vol.
2026/03/24
社会民主党
84%
Moderates
91%
Danish Social Liberal Party
79%
ヴェンストレ
71%
グリーンレフト
37%
リベラル・アライアンス
11%
デンマーク国民党
6%
Naleraq
8%
ユニオン党
4%
Red–Green Alliance
22%
代替案
2%
デンマーク民主党
2%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
イヌイット・アタカティギット
<1%
保守党
37%
$125,674 Vol.
社会民主党
$4,282 Vol.
84%
Moderates
$4,811 Vol.
91%
Danish Social Liberal Party
$2,438 Vol.
79%
ヴェンストレ
$17,108 Vol.
71%
グリーンレフト
$41,367 Vol.
37%
リベラル・アライアンス
$10,126 Vol.
11%
デンマーク国民党
$5,056 Vol.
6%
Naleraq
$1,516 Vol.
8%
ユニオン党
$7,261 Vol.
4%
Red–Green Alliance
$2,502 Vol.
22%
代替案
$4,201 Vol.
2%
デンマーク民主党
$5,796 Vol.
2%
Citizens’ Party
$3,352 Vol.
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
$13,878 Vol.
1%
イヌイット・アタカティギット
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
保守党
$553 Vol.
37%
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$125,674終了日
2026/03/24マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
音量
$125,674終了日
2026/03/24マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Denmark’s March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented result in which neither the red nor blue bloc secured a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. The Social Democrats remained the largest party yet fell to their lowest vote share since 1903, while their prior coalition partners Venstre and the Moderates also lost ground. This left the 14-seat Moderates in a decisive kingmaker position during ongoing coalition talks. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen initially led negotiations but failed to build sufficient support, prompting a shift to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur in early May. Traders are therefore monitoring which centrist or cross-bloc combinations can deliver a stable parliamentary majority amid cost-of-living pressures and diplomatic tensions over Greenland.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問