Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on expectations that the Department of Justice may pursue cases against former senior officials amid ongoing investigations into past intelligence and law enforcement matters. Leading candidates such as John Brennan and James Comey trade at elevated probabilities due to trader assessments of procedural momentum, historical patterns of post-administration scrutiny, and signals from congressional oversight. Lower-priced names reflect thinner evidence of active indictments or arrests. No major new charges or warrants have materialized in recent months, leaving resolution dependent on any remaining 2026 developments before the January 1, 2027 cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$374,598 Vol.
アンソニー・ファウチ
11%
ジョン・ブレナン
29%
ホセ・ルイス・ロドリゲス・サパテロ
23%
アダム・シフ
3%
バラク・オバマ
1%
ジェームズ・コミー
6%
マフムード・カリール
29%
ジェームズ・クラッパー
13%
レティティア・ジェームズ
13%
ヒラリー・クリントン
3%
ビル・クリントン
2%
ロレッタ・リンチ
10%
スーザン・ライス
8%
キャンディス・オーウェンズ
6%
ギャビン・ニューサム
3%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
6%
ジョン・ケリー
3%
パム・ボンディ
4%
トム・ホーマン
12%
カッシュ・パテル
3%
ブランドン・ジョンソン
12%
リサ・クック
11%
イ・ジュンソク
11%
ジョー・バイデン
2%
$374,598 Vol.
アンソニー・ファウチ
$143,828 Vol.
11%
ジョン・ブレナン
$18,171 Vol.
29%
ホセ・ルイス・ロドリゲス・サパテロ
$21,677 Vol.
23%
アダム・シフ
$16,402 Vol.
3%
バラク・オバマ
$28,805 Vol.
1%
ジェームズ・コミー
$9,602 Vol.
6%
マフムード・カリール
$1,308 Vol.
29%
ジェームズ・クラッパー
$6,726 Vol.
13%
レティティア・ジェームズ
$2,848 Vol.
13%
ヒラリー・クリントン
$25,009 Vol.
3%
ビル・クリントン
$2,494 Vol.
2%
ロレッタ・リンチ
$2,376 Vol.
10%
スーザン・ライス
$304 Vol.
8%
キャンディス・オーウェンズ
$263 Vol.
6%
ギャビン・ニューサム
$37,596 Vol.
3%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
$1,789 Vol.
6%
ジョン・ケリー
$346 Vol.
3%
パム・ボンディ
$1,998 Vol.
4%
トム・ホーマン
$39,684 Vol.
12%
カッシュ・パテル
$530 Vol.
3%
ブランドン・ジョンソン
$3,191 Vol.
12%
リサ・クック
$3,319 Vol.
11%
イ・ジュンソク
$794 Vol.
11%
ジョー・バイデン
$5,538 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on expectations that the Department of Justice may pursue cases against former senior officials amid ongoing investigations into past intelligence and law enforcement matters. Leading candidates such as John Brennan and James Comey trade at elevated probabilities due to trader assessments of procedural momentum, historical patterns of post-administration scrutiny, and signals from congressional oversight. Lower-priced names reflect thinner evidence of active indictments or arrests. No major new charges or warrants have materialized in recent months, leaving resolution dependent on any remaining 2026 developments before the January 1, 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
音量
$374,598マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on expectations that the Department of Justice may pursue cases against former senior officials amid ongoing investigations into past intelligence and law enforcement matters. Leading candidates such as John Brennan and James Comey trade at elevated probabilities due to trader assessments of procedural momentum, historical patterns of post-administration scrutiny, and signals from congressional oversight. Lower-priced names reflect thinner evidence of active indictments or arrests. No major new charges or warrants have materialized in recent months, leaving resolution dependent on any remaining 2026 developments before the January 1, 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$374,598マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on expectations that the Department of Justice may pursue cases against former senior officials amid ongoing investigations into past intelligence and law enforcement matters. Leading candidates such as John Brennan and James Comey trade at elevated probabilities due to trader assessments of procedural momentum, historical patterns of post-administration scrutiny, and signals from congressional oversight. Lower-priced names reflect thinner evidence of active indictments or arrests. No major new charges or warrants have materialized in recent months, leaving resolution dependent on any remaining 2026 developments before the January 1, 2027 cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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