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icon for Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Elections·Graham Platner

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

icon for Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
Elections·Graham Platner

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson 41%

Shenna Bellows 22%

Nirav Shah 16%

Dan Kleban 4.2%

Polymarket

$90,939 Vol.

Troy Jackson 41%

Shenna Bellows 22%

Nirav Shah 16%

Dan Kleban 4.2%

Polymarket

$90,939 Vol.

Troy Jackson

$53,044 Vol.

41%

Shenna Bellows

$7,253 Vol.

22%

Nirav Shah

$3,841 Vol.

16%

Dan Kleban

$862 Vol.

4%

Jared Golden

$1,856 Vol.

4%

Graham Platner

$10,234 Vol.

4%

Janet Mills

$11,518 Vol.

3%

Jordan Wood

$1,033 Vol.

2%

Valli Geiger

$52 Vol.

2%

Paige Loud

$453 Vol.

1%

Aaron Frey

$419 Vol.

<1%

Chellie Pingree

$375 Vol.

<1%

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.

This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.

In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$90,939
終了日
2026/07/27
マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.

This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.

In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$90,939
終了日
2026/07/27
マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Troy Jackson」で41%、次いで「Shenna Bellows」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?」は$90.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Troy Jackson」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Shenna Bellows」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。