The UFC heavyweight title race remains wide open heading into the final stretch of 2026, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities to Jailton Almeida, Serghei Spivac, Sergei Pavlovich, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, and Ante Delija. Current undisputed champion Tom Aspinall sits at 40 percent despite his strong recent form, largely because of the lingering effects of his October 2025 eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane that has kept him sidelined and opened the door for interim-title contention in upcoming bouts. A deep pool of ranked contenders, each carrying recent wins or stylistic advantages that could shift momentum quickly, continues to compress the field, while veterans like Derrick Lewis and Ciryl Gane retain realistic paths through experience and knockout power. This balanced distribution reflects the division’s lack of a clear long-term frontrunner and the high variance inherent in heavyweight matchups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日セルゲイ・パブロビッチ 47.7%
ジャイルトン・アルメイダ 46.9%
デリック・ルイス 39.4%
シリル・ガーヌ 27%
$97,776 Vol.
$97,776 Vol.
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ
48%
ジャイルトン・アルメイダ
47%
デリック・ルイス
39%
シリル・ガーヌ
27%
アレクサンダー・ヴォルコフ
10%
マルチン・ティブラ
1%
カーティス・ブレイズ
<1%
トム・アスピナル
36%
セルゲイ・スピヴァク
47%
ワルド・コルテス・アコスタ
47%
アンテ・デリヤ
43%
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ 47.7%
ジャイルトン・アルメイダ 46.9%
デリック・ルイス 39.4%
シリル・ガーヌ 27%
$97,776 Vol.
$97,776 Vol.
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ
48%
ジャイルトン・アルメイダ
47%
デリック・ルイス
39%
シリル・ガーヌ
27%
アレクサンダー・ヴォルコフ
10%
マルチン・ティブラ
1%
カーティス・ブレイズ
<1%
トム・アスピナル
36%
セルゲイ・スピヴァク
47%
ワルド・コルテス・アコスタ
47%
アンテ・デリヤ
43%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
マーケット開始日: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The UFC heavyweight title race remains wide open heading into the final stretch of 2026, with traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities to Jailton Almeida, Serghei Spivac, Sergei Pavlovich, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, and Ante Delija. Current undisputed champion Tom Aspinall sits at 40 percent despite his strong recent form, largely because of the lingering effects of his October 2025 eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane that has kept him sidelined and opened the door for interim-title contention in upcoming bouts. A deep pool of ranked contenders, each carrying recent wins or stylistic advantages that could shift momentum quickly, continues to compress the field, while veterans like Derrick Lewis and Ciryl Gane retain realistic paths through experience and knockout power. This balanced distribution reflects the division’s lack of a clear long-term frontrunner and the high variance inherent in heavyweight matchups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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