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icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
政治·出入国管理

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
政治·出入国管理

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

$12,294 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$12,294 Vol.

Polymarket

4800+

$4,008 Vol.

11%

4900+

$4,981 Vol.

7%

5000+

$3,370 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.ICE enforcement operations in the New York City metropolitan area have continued through mid-June 2026, with Fugitive Operations teams conducting targeted arrests of criminal noncitizens, including those convicted of murder, sexual abuse, and gang affiliation. Cumulative totals reported since the start of the current administration already exceeded several thousand by early 2026, supported by federal priorities on interior removals. Local sanctuary policies limit cooperation from New York authorities, and a May federal court order restricted arrests at certain Manhattan immigration courthouses. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, near-term arrest volume will hinge on the pace of ongoing federal actions versus any procedural constraints or shifts in operational focus. Trader consensus reflects these enforcement patterns and remaining timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
音量
$12,294
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.ICE enforcement operations in the New York City metropolitan area have continued through mid-June 2026, with Fugitive Operations teams conducting targeted arrests of criminal noncitizens, including those convicted of murder, sexual abuse, and gang affiliation. Cumulative totals reported since the start of the current administration already exceeded several thousand by early 2026, supported by federal priorities on interior removals. Local sanctuary policies limit cooperation from New York authorities, and a May federal court order restricted arrests at certain Manhattan immigration courthouses. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, near-term arrest volume will hinge on the pace of ongoing federal actions versus any procedural constraints or shifts in operational focus. Trader consensus reflects these enforcement patterns and remaining timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
音量
$12,294
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.

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よくある質問

「Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4800+」で11%、次いで「4900+」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?」は$12.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「4800+」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4900+」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。