**Apple's interest in CXMT DRAM stems from a global memory shortage driven by AI demand, prompting testing of Chinese chips for devices sold in China and early supplier talks.** However, CXMT sits on the Pentagon's Chinese military companies list, triggering U.S. restrictions that block technology transfers and limit custom specifications. The Trump administration, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has directly opposed broader use, while Micron and lawmakers push back over national security and supply-chain risks. These political and regulatory barriers, combined with Apple's reliance on established suppliers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, keep the implied probability of meaningful 2026 purchases low despite ongoing lobbying. Any resolution hinges on White House waivers unlikely before year-end catalysts such as earnings or policy shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
20% 確率
$15,434 Vol.
$15,434 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
20% 確率
$15,434 Vol.
$15,434 Vol.
2026/12/31
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Apple's interest in CXMT DRAM stems from a global memory shortage driven by AI demand, prompting testing of Chinese chips for devices sold in China and early supplier talks.** However, CXMT sits on the Pentagon's Chinese military companies list, triggering U.S. restrictions that block technology transfers and limit custom specifications. The Trump administration, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has directly opposed broader use, while Micron and lawmakers push back over national security and supply-chain risks. These political and regulatory barriers, combined with Apple's reliance on established suppliers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, keep the implied probability of meaningful 2026 purchases low despite ongoing lobbying. Any resolution hinges on White House waivers unlikely before year-end catalysts such as earnings or policy shifts.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
音量
$15,434終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Apple's interest in CXMT DRAM stems from a global memory shortage driven by AI demand, prompting testing of Chinese chips for devices sold in China and early supplier talks.** However, CXMT sits on the Pentagon's Chinese military companies list, triggering U.S. restrictions that block technology transfers and limit custom specifications. The Trump administration, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has directly opposed broader use, while Micron and lawmakers push back over national security and supply-chain risks. These political and regulatory barriers, combined with Apple's reliance on established suppliers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, keep the implied probability of meaningful 2026 purchases low despite ongoing lobbying. Any resolution hinges on White House waivers unlikely before year-end catalysts such as earnings or policy shifts.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$15,434終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Apple's interest in CXMT DRAM stems from a global memory shortage driven by AI demand, prompting testing of Chinese chips for devices sold in China and early supplier talks.** However, CXMT sits on the Pentagon's Chinese military companies list, triggering U.S. restrictions that block technology transfers and limit custom specifications. The Trump administration, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has directly opposed broader use, while Micron and lawmakers push back over national security and supply-chain risks. These political and regulatory barriers, combined with Apple's reliance on established suppliers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, keep the implied probability of meaningful 2026 purchases low despite ongoing lobbying. Any resolution hinges on White House waivers unlikely before year-end catalysts such as earnings or policy shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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