ExxonMobil’s Q2 2026 upstream production faces the interplay of strong volume growth from its core advantaged assets in the Permian Basin and Guyana against base declines, divestments, and operational disruptions elsewhere. Q1 net production reached 4.594 million oil-equivalent barrels per day, with Guyana posting a record above 900 thousand gross barrels daily, while the company guided Q2 output in the 4.1–4.3 million boe/d range at its May earnings update. Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, introduced downside risks estimated at up to 750,000 barrels per day if sustained, though non-Middle East volumes were projected to rise roughly 150,000 boe/d quarter-over-quarter. Traders will focus on the July 31 earnings release for the final figure, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around these offsetting factors and any last-minute operational updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/07/31
420万
95%
4.3M
94%
440万
50%
450万
50%
4.6M
50%
$1,094 Vol.
420万
$139 Vol.
95%
4.3M
$955 Vol.
94%
440万
$0 Vol.
50%
450万
$0 Vol.
50%
4.6M
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil's oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.ExxonMobil’s Q2 2026 upstream production faces the interplay of strong volume growth from its core advantaged assets in the Permian Basin and Guyana against base declines, divestments, and operational disruptions elsewhere. Q1 net production reached 4.594 million oil-equivalent barrels per day, with Guyana posting a record above 900 thousand gross barrels daily, while the company guided Q2 output in the 4.1–4.3 million boe/d range at its May earnings update. Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, introduced downside risks estimated at up to 750,000 barrels per day if sustained, though non-Middle East volumes were projected to rise roughly 150,000 boe/d quarter-over-quarter. Traders will focus on the July 31 earnings release for the final figure, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around these offsetting factors and any last-minute operational updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil's oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 18, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
音量
$1,094終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil's oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.ExxonMobil’s Q2 2026 upstream production faces the interplay of strong volume growth from its core advantaged assets in the Permian Basin and Guyana against base declines, divestments, and operational disruptions elsewhere. Q1 net production reached 4.594 million oil-equivalent barrels per day, with Guyana posting a record above 900 thousand gross barrels daily, while the company guided Q2 output in the 4.1–4.3 million boe/d range at its May earnings update. Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, introduced downside risks estimated at up to 750,000 barrels per day if sustained, though non-Middle East volumes were projected to rise roughly 150,000 boe/d quarter-over-quarter. Traders will focus on the July 31 earnings release for the final figure, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around these offsetting factors and any last-minute operational updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ExxonMobil's oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
音量
$1,094終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...ExxonMobil’s Q2 2026 upstream production faces the interplay of strong volume growth from its core advantaged assets in the Permian Basin and Guyana against base declines, divestments, and operational disruptions elsewhere. Q1 net production reached 4.594 million oil-equivalent barrels per day, with Guyana posting a record above 900 thousand gross barrels daily, while the company guided Q2 output in the 4.1–4.3 million boe/d range at its May earnings update. Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, introduced downside risks estimated at up to 750,000 barrels per day if sustained, though non-Middle East volumes were projected to rise roughly 150,000 boe/d quarter-over-quarter. Traders will focus on the July 31 earnings release for the final figure, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around these offsetting factors and any last-minute operational updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問