Reza Pahlavi has remained in exile since 1979 and continues to advocate for a secular democratic transition from abroad. He has publicly expressed willingness to return to Iran as soon as conditions permit, even prior to full regime change, to support defections and a stable handover. Recent developments include his spring 2026 European tour, CPAC appearances, meetings with U.S. officials, and comments on foreign policy normalization amid 2025–2026 protests and the February 2026 death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iranian authorities have retained control following U.S.-Israeli strikes, with no confirmed safe passage or entry reported. Key barriers include security risks, limited domestic support infrastructure, regime institutional continuity, and questions over Pahlavi’s decades-long absence and foreign associations. The market resolves on credible reporting of any visit by December 31, 2026, leaving scope for shifts from protest escalations or internal fractures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,806,164 Vol.
12月31日
6%
$21,806,164 Vol.
12月31日
6%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Feb 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Reza Pahlavi has remained in exile since 1979 and continues to advocate for a secular democratic transition from abroad. He has publicly expressed willingness to return to Iran as soon as conditions permit, even prior to full regime change, to support defections and a stable handover. Recent developments include his spring 2026 European tour, CPAC appearances, meetings with U.S. officials, and comments on foreign policy normalization amid 2025–2026 protests and the February 2026 death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Iranian authorities have retained control following U.S.-Israeli strikes, with no confirmed safe passage or entry reported. Key barriers include security risks, limited domestic support infrastructure, regime institutional continuity, and questions over Pahlavi’s decades-long absence and foreign associations. The market resolves on credible reporting of any visit by December 31, 2026, leaving scope for shifts from protest escalations or internal fractures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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