Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International’s July 2026 joint offer of $60.50 per share—valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion—underpin the 63.2% market-implied probability against a completed Stripe acquisition this year. PayPal rejected the bid as undervaluing the company amid its ongoing turnaround and cost-cutting initiatives, leaving discussions preliminary despite committed bank financing. Earlier February 2026 reports of Stripe’s preliminary interest triggered share-price gains but produced no binding agreement. Key catalysts include potential valuation revisions, regulatory scrutiny of the combined payments platform, and year-end timing pressures that could either accelerate closure or extend uncertainty into 2027. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and the absence of final terms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
37% 確率
$80,934 Vol.
$80,934 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
37% 確率
$80,934 Vol.
$80,934 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International’s July 2026 joint offer of $60.50 per share—valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion—underpin the 63.2% market-implied probability against a completed Stripe acquisition this year. PayPal rejected the bid as undervaluing the company amid its ongoing turnaround and cost-cutting initiatives, leaving discussions preliminary despite committed bank financing. Earlier February 2026 reports of Stripe’s preliminary interest triggered share-price gains but produced no binding agreement. Key catalysts include potential valuation revisions, regulatory scrutiny of the combined payments platform, and year-end timing pressures that could either accelerate closure or extend uncertainty into 2027. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and the absence of final terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$80,934終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International’s July 2026 joint offer of $60.50 per share—valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion—underpin the 63.2% market-implied probability against a completed Stripe acquisition this year. PayPal rejected the bid as undervaluing the company amid its ongoing turnaround and cost-cutting initiatives, leaving discussions preliminary despite committed bank financing. Earlier February 2026 reports of Stripe’s preliminary interest triggered share-price gains but produced no binding agreement. Key catalysts include potential valuation revisions, regulatory scrutiny of the combined payments platform, and year-end timing pressures that could either accelerate closure or extend uncertainty into 2027. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and the absence of final terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$80,934終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International’s July 2026 joint offer of $60.50 per share—valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion—underpin the 63.2% market-implied probability against a completed Stripe acquisition this year. PayPal rejected the bid as undervaluing the company amid its ongoing turnaround and cost-cutting initiatives, leaving discussions preliminary despite committed bank financing. Earlier February 2026 reports of Stripe’s preliminary interest triggered share-price gains but produced no binding agreement. Key catalysts include potential valuation revisions, regulatory scrutiny of the combined payments platform, and year-end timing pressures that could either accelerate closure or extend uncertainty into 2027. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and the absence of final terms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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