Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5¢ on the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm territorial control over the capital since fully recapturing it in May 2025, with government institutions returning in January 2026. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport and infrastructure in early May underscore their shift to asymmetric tactics after losing ground in the capital, compounded by high-profile defections like Major General al-Nour Ahmed Adam's in late April. Maps as of mid-May confirm SAF dominance in central Sudan, leaving RSF entrenched in Darfur and western fronts amid a military impasse. With six weeks remaining, reversal would require improbable SAF collapse, massive external escalation, or RSF command fractures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$21,646 Vol.
$21,646 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$21,646 Vol.
$21,646 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5¢ on the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm territorial control over the capital since fully recapturing it in May 2025, with government institutions returning in January 2026. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport and infrastructure in early May underscore their shift to asymmetric tactics after losing ground in the capital, compounded by high-profile defections like Major General al-Nour Ahmed Adam's in late April. Maps as of mid-May confirm SAF dominance in central Sudan, leaving RSF entrenched in Darfur and western fronts amid a military impasse. With six weeks remaining, reversal would require improbable SAF collapse, massive external escalation, or RSF command fractures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
音量
$21,646終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5¢ on the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm territorial control over the capital since fully recapturing it in May 2025, with government institutions returning in January 2026. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport and infrastructure in early May underscore their shift to asymmetric tactics after losing ground in the capital, compounded by high-profile defections like Major General al-Nour Ahmed Adam's in late April. Maps as of mid-May confirm SAF dominance in central Sudan, leaving RSF entrenched in Darfur and western fronts amid a military impasse. With six weeks remaining, reversal would require improbable SAF collapse, massive external escalation, or RSF command fractures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
音量
$21,646終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 99.5¢ on the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capturing Khartoum by June 30, reflecting the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm territorial control over the capital since fully recapturing it in May 2025, with government institutions returning in January 2026. Recent RSF drone strikes on Khartoum International Airport and infrastructure in early May underscore their shift to asymmetric tactics after losing ground in the capital, compounded by high-profile defections like Major General al-Nour Ahmed Adam's in late April. Maps as of mid-May confirm SAF dominance in central Sudan, leaving RSF entrenched in Darfur and western fronts amid a military impasse. With six weeks remaining, reversal would require improbable SAF collapse, massive external escalation, or RSF command fractures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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