David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over Francesca Hong has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the party's nominee against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in the November 3 general election. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination without opposition and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Forecasters rate the open-seat race a toss-up in the swing state, where moderate voters and independent turnout often decide close outcomes. Traders appear to view Crowley's emphasis on bipartisan appeals and broader electability as giving him an edge in consolidating Democratic support and competing statewide, while Tiffany's rural base and national alignment shape the opposing side's prospects. No major developments have shifted the matchup in the immediate aftermath of the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$170,556 Vol.
$170,556 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
78%
共和党
23%
$170,556 Vol.
$170,556 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$78,359 Vol.
78%
共和党
$92,197 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over Francesca Hong has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the party's nominee against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in the November 3 general election. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination without opposition and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Forecasters rate the open-seat race a toss-up in the swing state, where moderate voters and independent turnout often decide close outcomes. Traders appear to view Crowley's emphasis on bipartisan appeals and broader electability as giving him an edge in consolidating Democratic support and competing statewide, while Tiffany's rural base and national alignment shape the opposing side's prospects. No major developments have shifted the matchup in the immediate aftermath of the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$170,556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over Francesca Hong has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the party's nominee against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in the November 3 general election. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination without opposition and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Forecasters rate the open-seat race a toss-up in the swing state, where moderate voters and independent turnout often decide close outcomes. Traders appear to view Crowley's emphasis on bipartisan appeals and broader electability as giving him an edge in consolidating Democratic support and competing statewide, while Tiffany's rural base and national alignment shape the opposing side's prospects. No major developments have shifted the matchup in the immediate aftermath of the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$170,556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley's narrow victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over Francesca Hong has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the party's nominee against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in the November 3 general election. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination without opposition and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Forecasters rate the open-seat race a toss-up in the swing state, where moderate voters and independent turnout often decide close outcomes. Traders appear to view Crowley's emphasis on bipartisan appeals and broader electability as giving him an edge in consolidating Democratic support and competing statewide, while Tiffany's rural base and national alignment shape the opposing side's prospects. No major developments have shifted the matchup in the immediate aftermath of the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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