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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 51.8%

Kylian Mbappe 23%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,670,766 Vol.

Lionel Messi 51.8%

Kylian Mbappe 23%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,670,766 Vol.

Lionel Messi

$1,191,784 Vol.

52%

Kylian Mbappe

$1,371,130 Vol.

23%

Erling Haaland

$913,552 Vol.

7%

Ousmane Dembele

$1,303,966 Vol.

6%

Vinicius Junior

$750,990 Vol.

5%

Harry Kane

$895,337 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,318,254 Vol.

1%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$1,075,370 Vol.

1%

Deniz Undav

$682,979 Vol.

1%

Lamine Yamal

$949,738 Vol.

1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,880,017 Vol.

<1%

Kai Havertz

$627,173 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$660,793 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$2,133,888 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$465,816 Vol.

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$416,238 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$356,226 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$326,408 Vol.

<1%

Scott McTominay

$292,882 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$262,789 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$675,529 Vol.

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$324,299 Vol.

<1%

Edin Džeko

$286,543 Vol.

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,627,557 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$212,871 Vol.

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$418,036 Vol.

<1%

Ferran Torres

$538,100 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$178,559 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$461,771 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$260,525 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$247,767 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$443,963 Vol.

<1%

Dani Olmo

$436,403 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$682,793 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$1,005,056 Vol.

<1%

Sadio Mane

$299,173 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Leao

$835,635 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$597,580 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,552,245 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$428,260 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$490,005 Vol.

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$582,090 Vol.

<1%

Romelu Lukaku

$1,428,077 Vol.

<1%

Donyell Malen

$720,499 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$154,558 Vol.

<1%

Endrick

$693,806 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$474,381 Vol.

<1%

Memphis Depay

$332,879 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$36,670,766
終了日
2026/07/20
マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$36,670,766
終了日
2026/07/20
マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「World Cup: Golden Boot Winner」はPolymarket上の52+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Lionel Messi」で52%、次いで「Kylian Mbappe」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「World Cup: Golden Boot Winner」は$36.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「World Cup: Golden Boot Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている52+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「World Cup: Golden Boot Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Lionel Messi」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Kylian Mbappe」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「World Cup: Golden Boot Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。