France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,507 Vol.
$18,507 Vol.
2026/07/20
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
10%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
7%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
6%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
6%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
3%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
2%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,507 Vol.
$18,507 Vol.
2026/07/20
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
$2,843 Vol.
24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
$5,454 Vol.
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
$2,111 Vol.
13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
$4,161 Vol.
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
$161 Vol.
10%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
$830 Vol.
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
$889 Vol.
7%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
$632 Vol.
6%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
$763 Vol.
6%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
$188 Vol.
3%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
$127 Vol.
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
$347 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
音量
$18,507終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,507終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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