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ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国

icon for ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国
スポーツ·サッカー

ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国

$1,106,110 Vol.

2026/07/13
Polymarket

$1,106,110 Vol.

Polymarket

Iran

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

Egypt

$3,469 Vol.

4%

Canada

$14,953 Vol.

4%

Morocco

$37,849 Vol.

10%

Norway

$48,856 Vol.

15%

Colombia

$25,307 Vol.

20%

Japan

$76,499 Vol.

8%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$28,713 Vol.

2%

Brazil

$31,398 Vol.

29%

Australia

$17,201 Vol.

2%

Paraguay

$6,506 Vol.

1%

Netherlands

$25,337 Vol.

23%

Ecuador

$14,780 Vol.

7%

Ghana

$4,367 Vol.

3%

Belgium

$4,140 Vol.

11%

France

$68,838 Vol.

52%

Argentina

$120,567 Vol.

60%

Austria

$11,424 Vol.

2%

Croatia

$19,024 Vol.

6%

DR Congo

$5,019 Vol.

1%

Germany

$13,555 Vol.

19%

Algeria

$2,604 Vol.

2%

Portugal

$39,960 Vol.

25%

Mexico

$53,540 Vol.

16%

Switzerland

$17,855 Vol.

7%

Sweden

$13,146 Vol.

2%

Spain

$40,512 Vol.

48%

South Korea

$19,495 Vol.

<1%

Ivory Coast

$19,299 Vol.

3%

Uzbekistan

$4,628 Vol.

<1%

USA

$91,794 Vol.

18%

Cape Verde

$9,120 Vol.

2%

Senegal

$11,714 Vol.

3%

South Africa

$1,665 Vol.

1%

England

$53,141 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,106,110
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups feeding a 32-team knockout stage and two bracket pathways separating top seeds, shapes trader views on semifinal qualifiers. Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead implied probabilities due to deep squads, strong FIFA rankings, and favorable group draws featuring teams like Uruguay, Senegal, and Algeria. Early group-stage results, including Mexico's opening win and South Korea's victory, provide limited signals while highlighting co-host dynamics and rest advantages heading into the Round of 32. Key variables include injury updates to stars like Lamine Yamal or Lionel Messi, historical semifinal experience, and potential upsets from sides advancing as top third-place teams.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,106,110
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国」はPolymarket上の48+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Argentina」で60%、次いで「France」が52%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、60¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に60%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国」は$1.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国」で取引するには、このページに記載されている48+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国」の現在のフロントランナーは「Argentina」で60%であり、市場がこの結果に60%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「France」で52%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ワールドカップ：準決勝進出国」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。