Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026, the highest reading since September 2023, driven by a sharp 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to hold its deposit rate at 2.00% on April 30 while signaling readiness for tightening, positioning a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome. Traders price in an 85.0% probability for that move, reflecting broad economist consensus and the need to anchor inflation expectations without committing to a specific path. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution around further aggressive steps, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs remain key swing factors ahead of the decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트25 bps Increase 85%
No change 13.6%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$275,514 거래량
$275,514 거래량
2026.06.11
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
14%
25 bps Increase
85%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 85%
No change 13.6%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$275,514 거래량
$275,514 거래량
2026.06.11
50+ bps decrease
$54,094 거래량
<1%
25 bps decrease
$43,941 거래량
<1%
No change
$52,213 거래량
14%
25 bps Increase
$72,057 거래량
85%
50+ bps increase
$53,209 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026, the highest reading since September 2023, driven by a sharp 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to hold its deposit rate at 2.00% on April 30 while signaling readiness for tightening, positioning a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome. Traders price in an 85.0% probability for that move, reflecting broad economist consensus and the need to anchor inflation expectations without committing to a specific path. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution around further aggressive steps, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs remain key swing factors ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
거래량
$275,514종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026, the highest reading since September 2023, driven by a sharp 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to hold its deposit rate at 2.00% on April 30 while signaling readiness for tightening, positioning a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome. Traders price in an 85.0% probability for that move, reflecting broad economist consensus and the need to anchor inflation expectations without committing to a specific path. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution around further aggressive steps, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs remain key swing factors ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
거래량
$275,514종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026, the highest reading since September 2023, driven by a sharp 10.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to hold its deposit rate at 2.00% on April 30 while signaling readiness for tightening, positioning a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome. Traders price in an 85.0% probability for that move, reflecting broad economist consensus and the need to anchor inflation expectations without committing to a specific path. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of just 0.1% introduces some caution around further aggressive steps, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs remain key swing factors ahead of the decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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