Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting rhythm on X, averaging roughly 25–35 tweets daily in recent June tracking data, underpins the tight clustering of trader bets around the 180–239 ranges. Recent comparable weeks have landed near 190–220 total posts, driven by steady commentary on SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and real-time cultural or political topics rather than major spikes or quiet periods. With no high-profile events or travel commitments confirmed for June 23–30 that would meaningfully shift cadence, the market reflects consensus on consistent engagement patterns while leaving room for variance from weekend dips or sudden news cycles. Traders weigh these historical baselines against the platform’s fast-moving nature to assess the narrow edges between the top three outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트240-259 33%
220-239 28%
260-279 18.4%
280-299 8.8%
$2,832,816 거래량
$2,832,816 거래량
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200-219
8%
220-239
28%
240-259
33%
260-279
18%
280-299
9%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
240-259 33%
220-239 28%
260-279 18.4%
280-299 8.8%
$2,832,816 거래량
$2,832,816 거래량
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200-219
8%
220-239
28%
240-259
33%
260-279
18%
280-299
9%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting rhythm on X, averaging roughly 25–35 tweets daily in recent June tracking data, underpins the tight clustering of trader bets around the 180–239 ranges. Recent comparable weeks have landed near 190–220 total posts, driven by steady commentary on SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and real-time cultural or political topics rather than major spikes or quiet periods. With no high-profile events or travel commitments confirmed for June 23–30 that would meaningfully shift cadence, the market reflects consensus on consistent engagement patterns while leaving room for variance from weekend dips or sudden news cycles. Traders weigh these historical baselines against the platform’s fast-moving nature to assess the narrow edges between the top three outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문