Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트180-199 46.5%
200-219 33.0%
220-239 11.3%
160-179 4.9%
$9,659,168 거래량
$9,659,168 거래량
2026.05.19
140-159
<1%
160-179
5%
180-199
46%
200-219
33%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.5%
200-219 33.0%
220-239 11.3%
160-179 4.9%
$9,659,168 거래량
$9,659,168 거래량
2026.05.19
140-159
$709,013 거래량
<1%
160-179
$469,511 거래량
5%
180-199
$370,577 거래량
46%
200-219
$357,526 거래량
33%
220-239
$380,543 거래량
11%
240-259
$309,971 거래량
2%
260-279
$295,174 거래량
1%
280-299
$271,112 거래량
<1%
300-319
$323,286 거래량
<1%
320-339
$400,517 거래량
<1%
340-359
$431,224 거래량
<1%
360-379
$416,794 거래량
<1%
380-399
$400,319 거래량
<1%
400-419
$544,870 거래량
<1%
420-439
$157,801 거래량
<1%
440-459
$82,148 거래량
<1%
460-479
$67,044 거래량
<1%
480-499
$29,190 거래량
<1%
500+
$241,769 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
거래량
$9,659,168종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$9,659,168종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace in the current window aligns closely with his established weekly average on X, positioning the 180-199 range as the clear market leader. Recent activity, including a burst of 62 posts on May 13 and sustained engagement around Grok updates and platform milestones through May 17, has reinforced trader expectations without triggering the spikes that would shift volume into higher brackets. With the period closing May 19, any late-week developments in AI announcements or cultural commentary could still nudge totals, yet the current trajectory and historical precedent keep the frontrunner bin firmly in place at 45.6% implied probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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