Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window is currently shaped by his steady mix of business updates, AI commentary, and public exchanges on X, which has anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 range at 54.5% implied probability. This range aligns with Musk’s typical three-day output when major Tesla or SpaceX milestones are not dominating his feed. The closely contested 65-89 bucket at 39% reflects expectations that weekend visibility or a timely post about regulatory or tech developments could push activity higher. With the period still unfolding, traders are watching for any late-breaking announcements that might alter posting patterns before the window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 53%
65-89 42%
90~114 4.5%
115~139 <1%
$513,203 거래량
$513,203 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
<1%
40~64
53%
65-89
42%
90~114
4%
115~139
1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 53%
65-89 42%
90~114 4.5%
115~139 <1%
$513,203 거래량
$513,203 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
$127,170 거래량
<1%
40~64
$44,607 거래량
53%
65-89
$51,035 거래량
42%
90~114
$74,379 거래량
4%
115~139
$49,412 거래량
1%
140~164
$58,592 거래량
<1%
165~189
$53,265 거래량
<1%
190-214
$36,291 거래량
<1%
215-239
$14,853 거래량
<1%
240+
$16,696 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window is currently shaped by his steady mix of business updates, AI commentary, and public exchanges on X, which has anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 range at 54.5% implied probability. This range aligns with Musk’s typical three-day output when major Tesla or SpaceX milestones are not dominating his feed. The closely contested 65-89 bucket at 39% reflects expectations that weekend visibility or a timely post about regulatory or tech developments could push activity higher. With the period still unfolding, traders are watching for any late-breaking announcements that might alter posting patterns before the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$513,203종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window is currently shaped by his steady mix of business updates, AI commentary, and public exchanges on X, which has anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 range at 54.5% implied probability. This range aligns with Musk’s typical three-day output when major Tesla or SpaceX milestones are not dominating his feed. The closely contested 65-89 bucket at 39% reflects expectations that weekend visibility or a timely post about regulatory or tech developments could push activity higher. With the period still unfolding, traders are watching for any late-breaking announcements that might alter posting patterns before the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$513,203종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window is currently shaped by his steady mix of business updates, AI commentary, and public exchanges on X, which has anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 range at 54.5% implied probability. This range aligns with Musk’s typical three-day output when major Tesla or SpaceX milestones are not dominating his feed. The closely contested 65-89 bucket at 39% reflects expectations that weekend visibility or a timely post about regulatory or tech developments could push activity higher. With the period still unfolding, traders are watching for any late-breaking announcements that might alter posting patterns before the window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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