Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18 as the dominant outcome because it aligns with his recent daily posting rhythm, which has hovered near 13-20 posts amid focused engagement with xAI product updates. Recent developments include rapid iterations on Grok Build and automation features, prompting steady replies and commentary rather than the higher-volume political or cultural threads that can push daily counts above 30. The three-day window, spanning a weekend into Monday, historically moderates output compared with weekday business announcements, while the slim probability for 65-89 leaves room for an unexpected surge tied to fresh Tesla or SpaceX milestones. This market-implied consensus reflects traders’ real-capital assessment of his established pattern of high but variable platform engagement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 70%
65-89 27%
40개 미만 1.7%
90~114 1.7%
$676,131 거래량
$676,131 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
2%
40~64
70%
65-89
27%
90~114
2%
115~139
<1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 70%
65-89 27%
40개 미만 1.7%
90~114 1.7%
$676,131 거래량
$676,131 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
$209,318 거래량
2%
40~64
$60,178 거래량
70%
65-89
$65,507 거래량
27%
90~114
$87,691 거래량
2%
115~139
$67,278 거래량
<1%
140~164
$61,110 거래량
<1%
165~189
$53,265 거래량
<1%
190-214
$37,343 거래량
<1%
215-239
$15,853 거래량
<1%
240+
$18,696 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18 as the dominant outcome because it aligns with his recent daily posting rhythm, which has hovered near 13-20 posts amid focused engagement with xAI product updates. Recent developments include rapid iterations on Grok Build and automation features, prompting steady replies and commentary rather than the higher-volume political or cultural threads that can push daily counts above 30. The three-day window, spanning a weekend into Monday, historically moderates output compared with weekday business announcements, while the slim probability for 65-89 leaves room for an unexpected surge tied to fresh Tesla or SpaceX milestones. This market-implied consensus reflects traders’ real-capital assessment of his established pattern of high but variable platform engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$676,131종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18 as the dominant outcome because it aligns with his recent daily posting rhythm, which has hovered near 13-20 posts amid focused engagement with xAI product updates. Recent developments include rapid iterations on Grok Build and automation features, prompting steady replies and commentary rather than the higher-volume political or cultural threads that can push daily counts above 30. The three-day window, spanning a weekend into Monday, historically moderates output compared with weekday business announcements, while the slim probability for 65-89 leaves room for an unexpected surge tied to fresh Tesla or SpaceX milestones. This market-implied consensus reflects traders’ real-capital assessment of his established pattern of high but variable platform engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$676,131종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have coalesced around the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18 as the dominant outcome because it aligns with his recent daily posting rhythm, which has hovered near 13-20 posts amid focused engagement with xAI product updates. Recent developments include rapid iterations on Grok Build and automation features, prompting steady replies and commentary rather than the higher-volume political or cultural threads that can push daily counts above 30. The three-day window, spanning a weekend into Monday, historically moderates output compared with weekday business announcements, while the slim probability for 65-89 leaves room for an unexpected surge tied to fresh Tesla or SpaceX milestones. This market-implied consensus reflects traders’ real-capital assessment of his established pattern of high but variable platform engagement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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