Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 83%
65-89 17%
90~114 1.1%
115~139 <1%
$898,776 거래량
$898,776 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
<1%
40~64
83%
65-89
17%
90~114
1%
115~139
<1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 83%
65-89 17%
90~114 1.1%
115~139 <1%
$898,776 거래량
$898,776 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
$345,114 거래량
<1%
40~64
$81,679 거래량
83%
65-89
$84,831 거래량
17%
90~114
$109,500 거래량
1%
115~139
$91,768 거래량
<1%
140~164
$61,120 거래량
<1%
165~189
$53,265 거래량
<1%
190-214
$37,343 거래량
<1%
215-239
$15,853 거래량
<1%
240+
$18,696 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$898,776종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$898,776종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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