Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 75%
65-89 22%
90~114 1.4%
115~139 <1%
$856,816 거래량
$856,816 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
<1%
40~64
75%
65-89
22%
90~114
1%
115~139
<1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 75%
65-89 22%
90~114 1.4%
115~139 <1%
$856,816 거래량
$856,816 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
$343,264 거래량
<1%
40~64
$77,505 거래량
75%
65-89
$81,335 거래량
22%
90~114
$100,381 거래량
1%
115~139
$69,014 거래량
<1%
140~164
$61,120 거래량
<1%
165~189
$53,265 거래량
<1%
190-214
$37,343 거래량
<1%
215-239
$15,853 거래량
<1%
240+
$18,696 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$856,816종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$856,816종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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