Traders are coalescing around the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, carrying a 54.5% implied probability that reflects his typical weekend cadence rather than weekday peaks. Recent weeks have featured steady but unspectacular posting volumes without major product launches, regulatory headlines, or viral moments to drive elevated engagement, aligning expectations with established patterns for short, non-event windows. Any late-breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before the period closes, though current market sentiment treats such catalysts as low-probability variables that have not yet materialized.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 55%
65~89 25%
40개 미만 17%
90-114 6%
신규
$43,385 거래량
신규
$43,385 거래량
2026.05.20
40개 미만
17%
40~64
55%
65~89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190~214
<1%
215~239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 55%
65~89 25%
40개 미만 17%
90-114 6%
신규
$43,385 거래량
신규
$43,385 거래량
2026.05.20
40개 미만
$2,398 거래량
17%
40~64
$3,784 거래량
55%
65~89
$2,938 거래량
25%
90-114
$5,461 거래량
6%
115-139
$4,477 거래량
1%
140~164
$2,691 거래량
<1%
165~189
$4,517 거래량
<1%
190~214
$4,356 거래량
<1%
215~239
$6,486 거래량
<1%
240+
$6,276 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are coalescing around the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, carrying a 54.5% implied probability that reflects his typical weekend cadence rather than weekday peaks. Recent weeks have featured steady but unspectacular posting volumes without major product launches, regulatory headlines, or viral moments to drive elevated engagement, aligning expectations with established patterns for short, non-event windows. Any late-breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before the period closes, though current market sentiment treats such catalysts as low-probability variables that have not yet materialized.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
거래량
$43,385종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are coalescing around the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, carrying a 54.5% implied probability that reflects his typical weekend cadence rather than weekday peaks. Recent weeks have featured steady but unspectacular posting volumes without major product launches, regulatory headlines, or viral moments to drive elevated engagement, aligning expectations with established patterns for short, non-event windows. Any late-breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before the period closes, though current market sentiment treats such catalysts as low-probability variables that have not yet materialized.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$43,385종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETTraders are coalescing around the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, carrying a 54.5% implied probability that reflects his typical weekend cadence rather than weekday peaks. Recent weeks have featured steady but unspectacular posting volumes without major product launches, regulatory headlines, or viral moments to drive elevated engagement, aligning expectations with established patterns for short, non-event windows. Any late-breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before the period closes, though current market sentiment treats such catalysts as low-probability variables that have not yet materialized.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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