Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the upcoming three-day window. Traders are reflecting his typical daily output of 15-20 posts during ordinary periods without major launches or breaking news, which produces a steady but not extreme total over 72 hours. The lack of scheduled product announcements, political flashpoints, or high-stakes interviews in the immediate forecast has kept expectations anchored at baseline levels rather than pushing probabilities toward the higher brackets. With the short timeframe offering limited room for volatility, the current odds capture a consensus around routine engagement rather than an outlier surge or quiet stretch.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 53%
65~89 26%
40개 미만 17%
90-114 6%
신규
$39,772 거래량
신규
$39,772 거래량
2026.05.20
40개 미만
17%
40~64
53%
65~89
26%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190~214
<1%
215~239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 53%
65~89 26%
40개 미만 17%
90-114 6%
신규
$39,772 거래량
신규
$39,772 거래량
2026.05.20
40개 미만
$2,159 거래량
17%
40~64
$3,543 거래량
53%
65~89
$2,535 거래량
26%
90-114
$5,204 거래량
6%
115-139
$3,760 거래량
1%
140~164
$2,581 거래량
<1%
165~189
$4,005 거래량
<1%
190~214
$3,844 거래량
<1%
215~239
$5,974 거래량
<1%
240+
$6,165 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the upcoming three-day window. Traders are reflecting his typical daily output of 15-20 posts during ordinary periods without major launches or breaking news, which produces a steady but not extreme total over 72 hours. The lack of scheduled product announcements, political flashpoints, or high-stakes interviews in the immediate forecast has kept expectations anchored at baseline levels rather than pushing probabilities toward the higher brackets. With the short timeframe offering limited room for volatility, the current odds capture a consensus around routine engagement rather than an outlier surge or quiet stretch.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
거래량
$39,772종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the upcoming three-day window. Traders are reflecting his typical daily output of 15-20 posts during ordinary periods without major launches or breaking news, which produces a steady but not extreme total over 72 hours. The lack of scheduled product announcements, political flashpoints, or high-stakes interviews in the immediate forecast has kept expectations anchored at baseline levels rather than pushing probabilities toward the higher brackets. With the short timeframe offering limited room for volatility, the current odds capture a consensus around routine engagement rather than an outlier surge or quiet stretch.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$39,772종료일
2026.05.20마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETElon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market favorite for the upcoming three-day window. Traders are reflecting his typical daily output of 15-20 posts during ordinary periods without major launches or breaking news, which produces a steady but not extreme total over 72 hours. The lack of scheduled product announcements, political flashpoints, or high-stakes interviews in the immediate forecast has kept expectations anchored at baseline levels rather than pushing probabilities toward the higher brackets. With the short timeframe offering limited room for volatility, the current odds capture a consensus around routine engagement rather than an outlier surge or quiet stretch.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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