Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X is positioning the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clear market leader for the May 18-20 window, reflecting traders’ read on his steady daily output in the absence of any confirmed product launches, political flashpoints, or high-profile appearances. Recent activity shows him averaging 8-12 posts per day during quiet stretches, with occasional spikes above 20 when news cycles heat up, making a moderate three-day total the most probable outcome. Without major catalysts on the horizon, sentiment favors routine follower engagement and commentary rather than elevated volume. The tight spread to the 65-89 range leaves room for an unexpected uptick if breaking developments emerge before the period closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 54%
65~89 25%
40개 미만 17%
90-114 6%
$41,575 거래량
$41,575 거래량
40개 미만
17%
40~64
54%
65~89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190~214
<1%
215~239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 54%
65~89 25%
40개 미만 17%
90-114 6%
$41,575 거래량
$41,575 거래량
40개 미만
17%
40~64
54%
65~89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190~214
<1%
215~239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X is positioning the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clear market leader for the May 18-20 window, reflecting traders’ read on his steady daily output in the absence of any confirmed product launches, political flashpoints, or high-profile appearances. Recent activity shows him averaging 8-12 posts per day during quiet stretches, with occasional spikes above 20 when news cycles heat up, making a moderate three-day total the most probable outcome. Without major catalysts on the horizon, sentiment favors routine follower engagement and commentary rather than elevated volume. The tight spread to the 65-89 range leaves room for an unexpected uptick if breaking developments emerge before the period closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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