Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트840-879 11.8%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,151,222 거래량
$3,151,222 거래량
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560~579
1%
580~599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680~699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
10%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000~1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160~1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1,280~1,319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400~1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480~1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560~1599
<1%
1600~1679
<1%
1680~1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000개 이상
<1%
840-879 11.8%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,151,222 거래량
$3,151,222 거래량
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560~579
1%
580~599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680~699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
10%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000~1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160~1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1,280~1,319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400~1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480~1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560~1599
<1%
1600~1679
<1%
1680~1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000개 이상
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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