Persistent inflation at 3.8% for April 2026, exceeding forecasts and the Fed’s 2% target, has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts and supported gold’s role as a hedge against real yield compression. Central bank purchases, running above 800 tonnes annually, combined with geopolitical tensions and elevated energy costs, continue to underpin demand despite the pullback from January’s $5,589 peak to current levels near $4,500–$4,800. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications for shifts in the rate path, which could influence gold’s trajectory into June resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$4,921,517 거래량
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8,500
1%
↑ $8,000
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,500
2%
↑ $6,200
2%
↑ $6,000
2%
↑ $5,700
3%
↑ $5,500
5%
↑ $5,400
6%
↑ $5,300
7%
↑ $5,200
12%
↑ $5,100
18%
↑ $5,000
19%
↑ $4,900
44%
↑ $4,800
51%
↓ $4,500
85%
↓ $4,400
52%
↓ $4,300
54%
↓ $4,200
27%
↓ $3,800
4%
↓ $3,400
2%
$4,921,517 거래량
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8,500
1%
↑ $8,000
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,500
2%
↑ $6,200
2%
↑ $6,000
2%
↑ $5,700
3%
↑ $5,500
5%
↑ $5,400
6%
↑ $5,300
7%
↑ $5,200
12%
↑ $5,100
18%
↑ $5,000
19%
↑ $4,900
44%
↑ $4,800
51%
↓ $4,500
85%
↓ $4,400
52%
↓ $4,300
54%
↓ $4,200
27%
↓ $3,800
4%
↓ $3,400
2%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Persistent inflation at 3.8% for April 2026, exceeding forecasts and the Fed’s 2% target, has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts and supported gold’s role as a hedge against real yield compression. Central bank purchases, running above 800 tonnes annually, combined with geopolitical tensions and elevated energy costs, continue to underpin demand despite the pullback from January’s $5,589 peak to current levels near $4,500–$4,800. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications for shifts in the rate path, which could influence gold’s trajectory into June resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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