Recent hotter-than-expected U.S. producer price index data has strengthened the dollar and reinforced a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, pressuring spot gold below $4,715/oz and June 2026 COMEX futures (GC) to settle near $4,707. This reflects trader consensus pricing in persistent inflation above target, reducing rate-cut odds and elevating real yields that typically cap non-yielding gold's appeal. After a 41% rally from May 2025 amid central bank buying and geopolitical risks, prices have corrected 16% from January's $5,589 peak on shifting policy expectations. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI on May 15, nonfarm payrolls, and the June FOMC meeting, where inflation trajectory could sway the market-implied path toward end-June settlement levels.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$71,132 거래량
$8,000
2%
$7,000
2%
$6,500
2%
$6,200
4%
$6,000
6%
$5,800
8%
$5,600
9%
$5,400
14%
$5,200
23%
$5,000
28%
$4,800
54%
$4,600
65%
$71,132 거래량
$8,000
2%
$7,000
2%
$6,500
2%
$6,200
4%
$6,000
6%
$5,800
8%
$5,600
9%
$5,400
14%
$5,200
23%
$5,000
28%
$4,800
54%
$4,600
65%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Recent hotter-than-expected U.S. producer price index data has strengthened the dollar and reinforced a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, pressuring spot gold below $4,715/oz and June 2026 COMEX futures (GC) to settle near $4,707. This reflects trader consensus pricing in persistent inflation above target, reducing rate-cut odds and elevating real yields that typically cap non-yielding gold's appeal. After a 41% rally from May 2025 amid central bank buying and geopolitical risks, prices have corrected 16% from January's $5,589 peak on shifting policy expectations. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI on May 15, nonfarm payrolls, and the June FOMC meeting, where inflation trajectory could sway the market-implied path toward end-June settlement levels.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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