Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?
92-93°F 24%
94-95°F 22%
90-91°F 17%
88-89°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.21
83°F 이하
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 24%
94-95°F 22%
90-91°F 17%
88-89°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.21
83°F 이하
$3 거래량
1%
84-85°F
$3 거래량
1%
86-87°F
$76 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$3 거래량
11%
90-91°F
$55 거래량
17%
92-93°F
$71 거래량
24%
94-95°F
$66 거래량
22%
96-97°F
$38 거래량
9%
98-99°F
$74 거래량
2%
100-101°F
$141 거래량
<1%
102°F or higher
$50 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
거래량
$582종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$582종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETMarket-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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