Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 21일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
6월 21일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 35%
64-65°F 19%
70-71°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.21
57°F 이하
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
2%
76°F 이상
<1%
66-67°F 37%
68-69°F 35%
64-65°F 19%
70-71°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.21
57°F 이하
$42 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$132 거래량
1%
60-61°F
$100 거래량
1%
62-63°F
$47 거래량
3%
64-65°F
$13 거래량
19%
66-67°F
$21 거래량
37%
68-69°F
$22 거래량
35%
70-71°F
$16 거래량
11%
72-73°F
$35 거래량
7%
74-75°F
$52 거래량
2%
76°F 이상
$48 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
거래량
$527종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$527종료일
2026.06.21마켓 개설일
Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETForecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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