Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 1?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 1?
28°C 39%
27°C 24%
29°C 14%
30°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.01
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
24%
28°C
39%
29°C
14%
30°C
7%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 39%
27°C 24%
29°C 14%
30°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.01
23°C or below
$10 거래량
1%
24°C
$19 거래량
1%
25°C
$0 거래량
1%
26°C
$0 거래량
4%
27°C
$0 거래량
24%
28°C
$27 거래량
39%
29°C
$0 거래량
14%
30°C
$0 거래량
7%
31°C
$0 거래량
5%
32°C
$0 거래량
3%
33°C or higher
$0 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$56종료일
2026.07.01마켓 개설일
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$56종료일
2026.07.01마켓 개설일
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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