Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to maximum temperatures near Karachi’s June climatological average of 34–36 °C on the 29th, shaped by persistent Arabian Sea sea-surface temperatures, moderate southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer humidity. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 34 °C outcome (42.5 % implied probability) because model runs cluster tightly in the 33–35 °C range, with only modest spread from potential cloud cover or scattered showers forecast for 28–29 June that could limit afternoon heating. Above-normal temperatures noted earlier in the month have eased slightly as pre-monsoon moisture increases, reducing the odds of outliers above 36 °C while keeping 33 °C and 35 °C as viable secondary resolutions. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 카라치에서 가장 높은 온도는?
34°C 43%
35°C 23%
33°C 16%
32°C 10%
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
16%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
6%
37°C
3%
38°C 이상
1%
34°C 43%
35°C 23%
33°C 16%
32°C 10%
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
16%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
6%
37°C
3%
38°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to maximum temperatures near Karachi’s June climatological average of 34–36 °C on the 29th, shaped by persistent Arabian Sea sea-surface temperatures, moderate southwesterly flow, and elevated boundary-layer humidity. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 34 °C outcome (42.5 % implied probability) because model runs cluster tightly in the 33–35 °C range, with only modest spread from potential cloud cover or scattered showers forecast for 28–29 June that could limit afternoon heating. Above-normal temperatures noted earlier in the month have eased slightly as pre-monsoon moisture increases, reducing the odds of outliers above 36 °C while keeping 33 °C and 35 °C as viable secondary resolutions. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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