Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
18°C 19%
19°C 5%
14°C 이하
4%
15°C
5%
16°C
44%
17°C
46%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C 이상
4%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
18°C 19%
19°C 5%
14°C 이하
4%
15°C
5%
16°C
44%
17°C
46%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C 이상
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts following the late-June 2026 heatwave indicate overnight lows in Paris stabilizing near 16–17°C on June 29, as a moderating Atlantic flow and possible residual cloud cover from earlier thunderstorms limit radiative cooling. Numerical models show daytime highs easing from the prior 35–40°C peaks toward 28–32°C, with minimum temperatures hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied odds between 16°C and 17°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain unlikely absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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