Forecast models from meteorological agencies project Moscow's June 29 high near 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 22–23°C. These values sit near long-term June averages, with current late-June conditions showing similar daytime peaks and no strong heat advection or blocking patterns expected to drive extremes. Short-range guidance remains stable just 48 hours out, though minor revisions could occur from updated runs assessing cloud cover or precipitation timing that caps or boosts the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily, assigning the highest probabilities to the central forecast range while pricing in modest uncertainty from model variability and local urban effects.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
23°C 이상 38%
22°C 30%
21°C 20%
20°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
10%
21°C
20%
22°C
25%
23°C 이상
38%
23°C 이상 38%
22°C 30%
21°C 20%
20°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
10%
21°C
20%
22°C
25%
23°C 이상
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies project Moscow's June 29 high near 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated showers and light winds, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes around 22–23°C. These values sit near long-term June averages, with current late-June conditions showing similar daytime peaks and no strong heat advection or blocking patterns expected to drive extremes. Short-range guidance remains stable just 48 hours out, though minor revisions could occur from updated runs assessing cloud cover or precipitation timing that caps or boosts the daily maximum. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily, assigning the highest probabilities to the central forecast range while pricing in modest uncertainty from model variability and local urban effects.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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