Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 27일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
20°C 38%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
$18,246 거래량
$18,246 거래량
17°C 이하
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
19%
20°C
38%
21°C
31%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
20°C 38%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
$18,246 거래량
$18,246 거래량
17°C 이하
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
19%
20°C
38%
21°C
31%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문