El Niño conditions developing in June–July 2026, alongside a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and the Southwest Monsoon, are driving above-average temperatures and drier conditions across Singapore through October. Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts indicate daily maxima frequently reaching 32–34°C during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C under reduced cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C (38%) and 33°C (27.5%) outcomes. Short-range models for June 27 project thundery showers and highs near 33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of 31–32°C but elevated by the broader warming signal. Traders are weighting these moderate outcomes heavily given stable steering patterns and limited model spread, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the moderating influence of afternoon convection typical in equatorial regimes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 27일에 싱가포르에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
33°C 98.0%
34°C or higher <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$79,486 거래량
$79,486 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
98%
34°C or higher
1%
33°C 98.0%
34°C or higher <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$79,486 거래량
$79,486 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
98%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
El Niño conditions developing in June–July 2026, alongside a positive Indian Ocean Dipole and the Southwest Monsoon, are driving above-average temperatures and drier conditions across Singapore through October. Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts indicate daily maxima frequently reaching 32–34°C during this period, with occasional peaks near 35°C under reduced cloud cover, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C (38%) and 33°C (27.5%) outcomes. Short-range models for June 27 project thundery showers and highs near 33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of 31–32°C but elevated by the broader warming signal. Traders are weighting these moderate outcomes heavily given stable steering patterns and limited model spread, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the moderating influence of afternoon convection typical in equatorial regimes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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