Recent southwest monsoon advancement across Uttar Pradesh has introduced increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rainfall over Lucknow, moderating daytime heating and anchoring trader-implied odds near 34–36 °C. The monsoon trough’s position and embedded cyclonic circulations determine local precipitation timing and intensity; stronger convective activity or an active phase reduces solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures, while any temporary break favors slightly higher readings. Official IMD guidance and ensemble model runs indicate typical July monsoon conditions with highs around the 33–35 °C range, creating tight clustering among the leading outcomes as traders weigh the latest forecast updates against historical climatology for the Indo-Gangetic plain.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 러크나우에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
36°C 40%
37°C 34.3%
35°C 15%
38°C 11.0%
$12,976 거래량
$12,976 거래량
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
15%
36°C
40%
37°C
34%
38°C
11%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 34.3%
35°C 15%
38°C 11.0%
$12,976 거래량
$12,976 거래량
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
15%
36°C
40%
37°C
34%
38°C
11%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent southwest monsoon advancement across Uttar Pradesh has introduced increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rainfall over Lucknow, moderating daytime heating and anchoring trader-implied odds near 34–36 °C. The monsoon trough’s position and embedded cyclonic circulations determine local precipitation timing and intensity; stronger convective activity or an active phase reduces solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures, while any temporary break favors slightly higher readings. Official IMD guidance and ensemble model runs indicate typical July monsoon conditions with highs around the 33–35 °C range, creating tight clustering among the leading outcomes as traders weigh the latest forecast updates against historical climatology for the Indo-Gangetic plain.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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