Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey, particularly over influence in Syria and Turkish criticism of Israeli military operations, no direct clash between their armed forces has occurred. Both sides have established a deconfliction hotline to manage risks in shared operational areas, while focusing on other regional priorities amid ongoing conflicts with Iran and Hezbollah. Turkish legal actions and trade measures against Israeli officials reflect political pressure rather than imminent military moves, and Israeli assessments frame Ankara as a long-term competitor rather than an immediate threat. This combination of managed tensions and lack of triggering incidents underpins trader consensus against a clash before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$197,738 거래량
$197,738 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$197,738 거래량
$197,738 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey, particularly over influence in Syria and Turkish criticism of Israeli military operations, no direct clash between their armed forces has occurred. Both sides have established a deconfliction hotline to manage risks in shared operational areas, while focusing on other regional priorities amid ongoing conflicts with Iran and Hezbollah. Turkish legal actions and trade measures against Israeli officials reflect political pressure rather than imminent military moves, and Israeli assessments frame Ankara as a long-term competitor rather than an immediate threat. This combination of managed tensions and lack of triggering incidents underpins trader consensus against a clash before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
거래량
$197,738종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey, particularly over influence in Syria and Turkish criticism of Israeli military operations, no direct clash between their armed forces has occurred. Both sides have established a deconfliction hotline to manage risks in shared operational areas, while focusing on other regional priorities amid ongoing conflicts with Iran and Hezbollah. Turkish legal actions and trade measures against Israeli officials reflect political pressure rather than imminent military moves, and Israeli assessments frame Ankara as a long-term competitor rather than an immediate threat. This combination of managed tensions and lack of triggering incidents underpins trader consensus against a clash before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$197,738종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite elevated rhetoric and strategic rivalry between Israel and Turkey, particularly over influence in Syria and Turkish criticism of Israeli military operations, no direct clash between their armed forces has occurred. Both sides have established a deconfliction hotline to manage risks in shared operational areas, while focusing on other regional priorities amid ongoing conflicts with Iran and Hezbollah. Turkish legal actions and trade measures against Israeli officials reflect political pressure rather than imminent military moves, and Israeli assessments frame Ankara as a long-term competitor rather than an immediate threat. This combination of managed tensions and lack of triggering incidents underpins trader consensus against a clash before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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