The recent arrest and single charge against Toronto dating coach Justin Aguiar for an August 2024 incident has not yet produced a conviction, supporting the 58% market-implied odds on “No.” Aguiar, known online as “Drunk Justin,” faces proceedings that began with his November 2025 arrest and an initial January 2026 court appearance, following two earlier sexual-assault charges from 2019 and 2023 that were withdrawn. Multiple women have publicly shared allegations, yet Canadian court backlogs and the time required for investigations, possible additional charges, and trial scheduling make a resolution before 2027 unlikely without a swift plea. Traders weigh this procedural reality against the high uncertainty typical of developing legal cases involving influencers, where outcomes hinge on evidence presentation and victim cooperation rather than social-media momentum alone.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트저스틴 아구이아르 (Justin Aguiar) 가 2027년 이전에 성폭행 혐의로 유죄 판결
저스틴 아구이아르 (Justin Aguiar) 가 2027년 이전에 성폭행 혐의로 유죄 판결
예
$52,333 거래량
$52,333 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$52,333 거래량
$52,333 거래량
2026.12.31
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.The recent arrest and single charge against Toronto dating coach Justin Aguiar for an August 2024 incident has not yet produced a conviction, supporting the 58% market-implied odds on “No.” Aguiar, known online as “Drunk Justin,” faces proceedings that began with his November 2025 arrest and an initial January 2026 court appearance, following two earlier sexual-assault charges from 2019 and 2023 that were withdrawn. Multiple women have publicly shared allegations, yet Canadian court backlogs and the time required for investigations, possible additional charges, and trial scheduling make a resolution before 2027 unlikely without a swift plea. Traders weigh this procedural reality against the high uncertainty typical of developing legal cases involving influencers, where outcomes hinge on evidence presentation and victim cooperation rather than social-media momentum alone.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ET
거래량
$52,333종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.The recent arrest and single charge against Toronto dating coach Justin Aguiar for an August 2024 incident has not yet produced a conviction, supporting the 58% market-implied odds on “No.” Aguiar, known online as “Drunk Justin,” faces proceedings that began with his November 2025 arrest and an initial January 2026 court appearance, following two earlier sexual-assault charges from 2019 and 2023 that were withdrawn. Multiple women have publicly shared allegations, yet Canadian court backlogs and the time required for investigations, possible additional charges, and trial scheduling make a resolution before 2027 unlikely without a swift plea. Traders weigh this procedural reality against the high uncertainty typical of developing legal cases involving influencers, where outcomes hinge on evidence presentation and victim cooperation rather than social-media momentum alone.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$52,333종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent arrest and single charge against Toronto dating coach Justin Aguiar for an August 2024 incident has not yet produced a conviction, supporting the 58% market-implied odds on “No.” Aguiar, known online as “Drunk Justin,” faces proceedings that began with his November 2025 arrest and an initial January 2026 court appearance, following two earlier sexual-assault charges from 2019 and 2023 that were withdrawn. Multiple women have publicly shared allegations, yet Canadian court backlogs and the time required for investigations, possible additional charges, and trial scheduling make a resolution before 2027 unlikely without a swift plea. Traders weigh this procedural reality against the high uncertainty typical of developing legal cases involving influencers, where outcomes hinge on evidence presentation and victim cooperation rather than social-media momentum alone.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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