SpaceX commands a 98.7% market-implied probability as the largest private company by end-June valuation, reflecting its entrenched lead from a December 2025 tender near $800 billion—well above OpenAI’s latest private round at roughly $850 billion and lower marks for Anthropic or Databricks. Sustained revenue expansion in Starlink and launch services, combined with the xAI acquisition, has widened this gap ahead of SpaceX’s planned IPO pricing above $1.75 trillion. With resolution only days away, the slim window leaves little scope for rival capital raises to close the differential, though an outsized, completed funding round by another AI firm before month-end could theoretically alter the hierarchy. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in this durable positioning amid limited near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트SpaceX 99.7%
OpenAI <1%
Stripe <1%
Anduril <1%
$95,273 거래량
$95,273 거래량
Anduril
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
Canva
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Epic Games
<1%
Kraken
<1%
Lambda
<1%
Neuralink
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Perplexity
<1%
SpaceX
100%
Stripe
<1%
SpaceX 99.7%
OpenAI <1%
Stripe <1%
Anduril <1%
$95,273 거래량
$95,273 거래량
Anduril
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
Canva
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Epic Games
<1%
Kraken
<1%
Lambda
<1%
Neuralink
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Perplexity
<1%
SpaceX
100%
Stripe
<1%
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.
마켓 개설일: May 19, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.
If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
If two or more companies are tied for the highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5bc8aa2b-22b5-48cc-b54a-1310145b0a86/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data?return_url=https://test8298192.pages.dev/finance/privates.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX commands a 98.7% market-implied probability as the largest private company by end-June valuation, reflecting its entrenched lead from a December 2025 tender near $800 billion—well above OpenAI’s latest private round at roughly $850 billion and lower marks for Anthropic or Databricks. Sustained revenue expansion in Starlink and launch services, combined with the xAI acquisition, has widened this gap ahead of SpaceX’s planned IPO pricing above $1.75 trillion. With resolution only days away, the slim window leaves little scope for rival capital raises to close the differential, though an outsized, completed funding round by another AI firm before month-end could theoretically alter the hierarchy. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in this durable positioning amid limited near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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