Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일 도쿄에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
7월 11일 도쿄에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
24°C 48%
25°C 37%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.07.11
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
48%
25°C
37%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C 이상
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 37%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.07.11
19°C 이하
$315 거래량
<1%
20°C
$220 거래량
<1%
21°C
$180 거래량
1%
22°C
$169 거래량
5%
23°C
$180 거래량
10%
24°C
$541 거래량
48%
25°C
$742 거래량
37%
26°C
$103 거래량
4%
27°C
$429 거래량
1%
28°C
$615 거래량
<1%
29°C 이상
$2,042 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$5,537종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,537종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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