Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 10일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
7월 10일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
24°C 95.3%
23°C 4.5%
18°C 이하 <1%
19°C <1%
신규
$20,989 거래량
신규
$20,989 거래량
2026.07.10
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
95%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
24°C 95.3%
23°C 4.5%
18°C 이하 <1%
19°C <1%
신규
$20,989 거래량
신규
$20,989 거래량
2026.07.10
18°C 이하
$1,485 거래량
<1%
19°C
$1,687 거래량
<1%
20°C
$630 거래량
<1%
21°C
$2,338 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,158 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,522 거래량
5%
24°C
$5,991 거래량
95%
25°C
$2,418 거래량
<1%
26°C
$588 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,707 거래량
<1%
28°C 이상
$466 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$20,989종료일
2026.07.10마켓 개설일
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$20,989종료일
2026.07.10마켓 개설일
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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