Latest numerical weather prediction models from Environment Canada and global ensembles show Toronto’s July 9 high centered near 29–30 °C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and moderating lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario. These conditions keep the 30 °C and 29 °C brackets tightly matched in trader pricing while capping upside risk above 31 °C. Model consensus reflects typical mid-summer thermodynamics—warm advection ahead of a weak trough—but acknowledges forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead, where small shifts in timing of moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July normals near 26–27 °C provide context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes outside the 28–31 °C range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 9일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,648 거래량
$100,648 거래량
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,648 거래량
$100,648 거래량
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from Environment Canada and global ensembles show Toronto’s July 9 high centered near 29–30 °C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and moderating lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario. These conditions keep the 30 °C and 29 °C brackets tightly matched in trader pricing while capping upside risk above 31 °C. Model consensus reflects typical mid-summer thermodynamics—warm advection ahead of a weak trough—but acknowledges forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead, where small shifts in timing of moisture or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical July normals near 26–27 °C provide context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes outside the 28–31 °C range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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